Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.882136 1.109233 1.361704 1.660370 2.001219 2.375395 2.814491
2025-07-27 0.548794 0.831712 1.184095 1.642317 2.209670 2.877058 3.709184
2025-08-03 0.338432 0.629125 1.036111 1.614447 2.383094 3.339717 4.589798
2025-08-10 0.216831 0.500066 0.945189 1.630543 2.597603 3.856800 5.562749
2025-08-17 0.126969 0.379551 0.831145 1.585788 2.713492 4.243902 6.384553
2025-08-24 0.085733 0.325766 0.804880 1.658696 2.990205 4.851508 7.513480
2025-08-31 0.051221 0.263560 0.745045 1.664244 3.161455 5.316487 8.465333
2025-09-07 0.035250 0.236997 0.743853 1.762605 3.474484 5.989208 9.717867
2025-09-14 0.022246 0.206809 0.725850 1.825961 3.732724 6.589743 10.885790
2025-09-21 0.012406 0.174582 0.692803 1.854609 3.932903 7.108989 11.951047
2025-09-28 0.005249 0.137597 0.634566 1.824394 4.029700 7.473659 12.802828
2025-10-05 0.002279 0.116570 0.610013 1.855471 4.228121 7.994609 13.887921
2025-10-12 0.000677 0.096166 0.580283 1.873831 4.409566 8.502877 14.979724
2025-10-19 0.000045 0.072034 0.525979 1.829692 4.475880 8.833516 15.820023
2025-10-26 NaN 0.052989 0.476750 1.787228 4.539548 9.159397 16.659068
2025-11-02 NaN 0.041981 0.452027 1.798041 4.700874 9.644653 17.745535
2025-11-09 NaN 0.029129 0.406207 1.746897 4.738520 9.927743 18.530485
2025-11-16 NaN 0.025797 0.409010 1.823045 5.027145 10.630241 19.966745
2025-11-23 NaN 0.019557 0.387120 1.828066 5.173789 11.099564 21.052737
2025-11-30 NaN 0.018402 0.399967 1.932439 5.524774 11.918759 22.691288
2025-12-07 NaN 0.015915 0.400059 1.999651 5.802295 12.619461 24.156188
2025-12-14 NaN 0.012584 0.388347 2.030007 6.004583 13.196314 25.436512
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008324 0.357954 1.997782 6.073440 13.545509 26.365153